2024-05-13 Guernsey Pound News

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Understanding the Overall Trend of the Exchange Rates

The exchange rate data provided spans across an approximately one month time frame (April 12, 2024 - May 10, 2024). It appears that the overall trend of the exchange rates fluctuates over this period. The highest recorded exchange rate is 1.72888 and the lowest is 1.69961, indicating the volatility of rates over this period. On April 12, the rate was fairly high at 1.72126 and increased slowly until it reached its peak on April 15 at 1.72888. Afterwards, it gradually descended to its the lowest point at 1.69961 on April 26. The rate then slightly recovered and fluctuated with some slight upward trends and downward dips. However, it is difficult to discern an exact clear upward, downward or stable trend for the entire period as the rates vary significantly.

Identifying Seasonality or Recurring Patterns in the Changes of Exchange Rates

As the data spans a period of just one month, it's challenging to identify any definitive seasonality or recurring patterns. However, some observations can be made. For many days, the exchange rate seems to start low in the morning, peak around midday, and then reduce during the evening hours. This may suggest a daily cycle, although there are visible exceptions to this pattern. Thus, while there are mild indications of a daily rhythm, it would require more data and further analysis to determine a strong pattern or seasonal trend.

Noting any Outliers in the Exchange Rates

Outliers in the data are the values that distinctly deviate from other observations. In this dataset, the rate drops significantly on April 15th and again on April 26th, hitting the lowest point of 1.69961. Similarly, a sudden increase on April 15th stands out, reaching the highest point of 1.72888. However, fluctuations in exchange rates are not uncommon, and these could bear relevance to external events or data not included in the given dataset. As such, while these points are distinct when compared to the immediate datapoints around them, they might not necessarily be considered outliers.

Throughout April 2024 In recent financial developments, the exchange rate of the Guernsey Pound (GGP) saw notable volatility throughout the month of April 2024. This period had a considerable impact on traders and investors watching, with implications for both local business and international investments. Beginning the month on a surprisingly high note, the GGP exchange rate climbed steadily during the first week. It reached its peak midday on April 12th, hitting a high of 1.72888. However, this peak was followed by a sharp decline over the next two days. By April 15th, the official exchange rate had slid down to 1.71125, marking an overall loss within the first half of the month. Despite the downward trajectory in the earlier half of April, the GGP began to regain its footing. It demonstrated steady, yet moderate, increments over the next 10 days, featuring brief periods of cautious stability. Steep fluctuations characterized the latter part of the month, however, with the GGP swinging from 1.71182 (April 19th) to an alarming 1.70410 (April 25th). The volatility in the GGP exchange rate throughout the month has significant implications for the financial market in Guernsey. The sudden fluctuations can influence the level of foreign direct investment in the country, wherein higher rates generally make local assets less attractive to external investors. Conversely, a weaker GGP could stimulate exports by rendering local goods more cost-competitive on the global market. The turbulence in the exchange rate is not a stand-alone event but is often an indication of underlying issues in the economy. Whether it''s a response to inflation, interest rate changes, or changes in the economic health – these fluctuations are a very visual representation of the dynamic economic factors at play. Despite the significant fluctuation over the past month, many experts are projecting a stabilizing trend for the GGP moving into May, backed by improvements in the macroeconomic indicators of Guernsey. However, the volatility witnessed in April serves as a reminder for investors of the risks associated with currency trading. Investors and traders are hence advised to stay updated with the market developments and manage their investments cautiously. An emphasis on risk-proofing portfolios becomes elemental in such a climate, with diversification playing a key role in risk reduction. As we move further into 2024, market watchers will be closely observing the steps taken by Guernsey''s financial institutions to stabilize the GGP rate, ensuring a more predictable trading environment. In an ever-shifting global economic landscape, keeping abreast of such financial changes is more crucial than ever before.Significant Fluctuations in GGP Exchange Rate Witnessed Throughout April 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.