2024-04-17 Guernsey Pound News
2024-04-16
Summary of Yesterday
- Opening:
- Closing:
- Difference of Opening & Closing:
- Daily High:
- Daily Low:
- Difference of Daily High & Low:
Statistical Measures
- Mean:
- Standard Deviation:
Trend
1. Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates
The exchange rate in the dataset generally shows a slight increase. This is observed from the GGP exchange rate gradually moving from an initial rate of 1.71885 to end at 1.72172. It is safe to infer that throughout the period in discussion, the exchange rate demonstrated a mildly bullish behavior.
2. Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates
One challenging aspect of time-series analysis is identifying patterns or seasonality. Thorough analysis of the data does not show any clear recurring patterns or seasonal trends. The GGP exchange rate seems to reflect more randomness and inconsistency in its behavior as it fluctuates throughout different timestamps, making it rather difficult to attribute any kind of seasonality or recurrent cycle to the movement.
3. Noting any outliers, or instances where the exchange rate differs significantly from what would be expected based on the trend or seasonality
Some deviations or outliers can be noticed in the dataset where the currency rate fluctuates more dynamically. For instance, between timestamps '2024-04-16 07:25:02' and '2024-04-16 07:35:03', the GGP exchange rate surged from 1.71713 to 1.72166. This sudden increase significantly deviates from the overall mild uptrend. Moreover, another instance of significant price drop is observed between '2024-04-16 13:05:03' and '2024-04-16 13:10:02', where the rate drops from 1.72231 to 1.71986.
These sudden movements can be considered as outliers in this data. However, in financial data analysis, these swings might not be an error or anomaly but potentially due to some underlying reason such as market news or shifts in economic parameters, but such considerations were ruled out per the given instructions.
Conclusion
Overall, the trend of the exchange rate throughout the period was mildly increasing with minor fluctuations and no clear recognizable seasonality or recurring patterns. Few exceptions of sudden increase and decrease in the rates were noted as significant outliers from the light bullish trend. It is important to remember that understanding the movement of exchange rates purely based on historical data can be difficult as they are influenced by various economic, geopolitical factors.