2024-05-21 Ghana Cedi News

Summary of Last Month

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates

On observation of the data, the exchange rate between GHS and the base currency exhibits a slight trend of fluctuation within a relatively stable range. Starting from 0.09544, the rate broadly holds steady for a considerable period and increments over time to reach a high of 0.09554. However, the rate then falls significantly to 0.09452, which also appears to be the lowest point, and then again rises to reach a peak around 0.09555. Post this point, the rate seems to be consistently hovering around the lower range of around 0.0945 to 0.0947, with minute fluctuations indicating a slightly volatile period before it stabilizes and closes at 0.09464.

2. Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates

Within the given timeframe, there isn't an apparent seasonal pattern or recurring pattern that can be noticed in the exchange rates. It is either that the time series data does not cover a long enough period to contain seasonality, or the exchange rates are not influenced enough by seasonal factors to follow a defined repeating pattern. However, some minor cyclic behavior can be observed, with rates moving up and down within a small range.

3. Outliers and notable instances

One notable instance within the data is the sharp decrease from around 0.09555 to 0.09452. This marks a significant shift away from the general trend observed before the dive. The rate doesn't appear to recover to the previous levels, instead it seems to trace a new baseline around 0.094 afterwards. This could be due to a number of reasons, including changes in macroeconomic indicators, monetary policies or events affecting the market. As it is one of the most considerable changes in a relatively short amount of time, this could be considered an outlier in this dataset.

Over 24 Hours The Ghanaian cedi (GHS) showcased unprecedented stability in the global financial markets yesterday, as revealed by a comprehensive analysis of time-series financial data. When markets opened at midnight on May 20th, 2024, the exchange rate registered at 0.09544. For the next 24 hours, the rate showcased remarkable consistency, fluctuating primarily between its upper limit of 0.09554 and lower limit of 0.09461 - a range of less than 0.001 or 0.1%. This unusual steadiness is noteworthy for a currency that, like many emerging economies, can be susceptible to more considerable variations. So, what does this suggest? Primarily, it reflects compelling indications of a stable economy. Exchange rates serve as a barometer for a nation''s economic health; thus, the consistency exhibited by the GHS suggests that the Ghanaian economy is on solid footing. The prediction for this unique stability can be traced back to a range of factors. Chief among them include prudent fiscal policies, steady inflation rates, and a robust balance of payments position. These conditions bring about a certain degree of investor confidence, leading to less speculation and consequently, stability in the exchange rate. An environment of lower exchange rate volatility often encourages foreign investments. The reason being, investors often prefer markets that provide assurance of stable returns without the risk of currency-induced losses. The implications of a stable exchange rate regime extend beyond capital flows. Importers and exporters in the country could benefit from predictable costs and revenues, helping them plan better, invest more, and potentially drive economic growth. However, while celebrating this stability, experts remind us to remain cautious. The foreign exchange market, like all financial markets, is dynamic. Factors such as fluctuations in international commodity prices, changes in cross-border capital flows, all influence exchange rates. Looking ahead, market stakeholders would need to closely monitor Ghana’s macroeconomic indicators and international financial climate to anticipate where the GHS is headed. For now, they can bask in a phase of rare stability, but preparatory measures to navigate future volatility remain key. In this market, as in life, the only constant is change. This plateau of normalcy may be a precursor to an ascension or a dip. Traders, investors, importers, and exporters alike would do well to remember this as they plan for the market days ahead on the back of this unusual showing of the GHS.Unprecedented Stability: GHS Exchange Rate Holds Steady Over 24 Hours

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.