2024-05-15 Ghana Cedi News

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Data Overview and Preprocessing

Before starting to analyze the data, let's preprocess the data to make it suitable for analysis. The data appears to be in a string where each entry is a timestamp followed by the GHS currency exchange value at that time. Our first step would be to split these entries and convert them into a more suitable format, likely a pandas DataFrame where each row contains a timestamp and the corresponding GHS value.

Then we need to ensure that the timestamps are in the correct datetime format for further analysis. Missing or inconsistent data entries, if any, need to be handled accordingly considering the nature of the data and analytical objectives. It's also critical to check for any outliers or erroneous entries in the GHS exchange value.

Understanding the Overall Trend

To understand the overall trend, we will plot the GHS value over the time scale. This will enable us to visually comprehend how currency exchange values have changed over the time period covered in the data. A line plot would suit this purpose well, as the x-axis would represent the time stamp (showing progression over time), and the y-axis would represent the actual GHS values.

Identifying Seasonality

To identify any seasonality or recurring patterns, techniques such as autocorrelation plots or decomposition of the time series into trend, seasonality, and residuals can be utilized. Seasonality indicates that the series has regular patterns that repeat over time. If a series is seasonal, we should see high autocorrelations for the lags at the multiples of the seasonal frequency. The decomposition process allows to capture the seasonality in isolation and study it.

Outliers Detection

Outliers in the data could be due to extreme fluctuations in exchange rates caused by various economic scenarios or could be due to data entry errors. Boxplots or scatter plots of the data can highlight these outliers visually by identifying data points that fall significantly outside of the 'typical' range of values. Numerically, Z-score or IQR (interquartile range) can be used to detect outliers.

All the above analyses should give a comprehensive understanding of the dataset. Remember that time series data can be complex and it's often beneficial to consider multiple analytical perspectives to gain a complete understanding.

In a series of fluctuations throughout the day on May 14th 2024, the Ghanaian cedi (GHS) to US dollar exchange rate demonstrated notable volatility. The day started off with a moderately stable rate around 0.0974, but by the end of the day, it had experienced significant changes, testing lower bound of 0.09578, eventually settling near 0.09661. These fluctuating exchange rates are another indication of the turbulence and unpredictability characterizing foreign exchange markets in recent times. Market watchers and investors are keeping a close eye on the GHS trends, particularly due to the broad implications it may bring to the broader economy and specific sectors. The Ghanaian cedi started the day on a relatively steady note, fluctuating marginally around the 0.0974 level in the early hours. This initial period of stability, however, did not last long. As the day progressed into the afternoon, the cedi began to lose value, dropping to a low of 0.09578, reflecting weakening demand or growing supply. Market insiders suggest that complex factors drove this fluctuation, including global economic trends, commodity price shifts, and internal variables such as Ghana’s economic policies. As home to one of the largest gold reserves in the world, Ghana''s economy and currency are often reactive to shifts in global gold prices. Hence, any significant move in the gold market either way can indirectly impact the Ghanaian cedi. The change in the exchange rate can have a strong impact on foreign trade, a primary sector of Ghana''s economy. A weak cedi makes imports costlier and could lead to increased prices of imported goods, affecting domestic consumer sentiment and behavior. Conversely, it plays benefit to exporters as they receive more cedis for their dollar earnings. As the day ended, the cedi picked back moderately, pulling back to 0.09661. Despite this rebound, the exchange rate remained lower compared to the day''s opening level, a trend which could influence the decisions of businesses involved in import-export. Looking forward, market watchers recommend keeping an eye on international gold prices and Ghana''s internal economic polices, which could dictate the future course of the GHS exchange rate. However, as exchange rates are influenced by a variety of unpredictable factors, businesses and individuals are advised to be cautious while making plans based on currency projections. Even though a single day''s fluctuation is not a determining factor for any long-term assessments, this event makes it clear that the exchange rates remain a closely-watched economic indicator in this era of globalized markets.Unsteady GHS Exchange Rates Observed over the Day

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.