2024-05-13 Forint News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

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  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Understanding The Overall Trend of The Exchange Rate

From the data provided, the exchange rate between April 12, 2024, and May 10, 2024, has maintained a relatively stable position. However, a mild increase in value is observed as the data approaches the latter part of the period considered. The lowest value recorded is 0.0037 on April 18, 2024, and the highest exchange rate value is 0.0038 on May 10, 2024. The range of the values from the minimum to maximum is quite narrow, indicating less volatility in the exchange rates during this period.

2. Identifying Seasonality and Other Patterns in Rate Changes

At the preliminary glance, it may seem challenging to detect a clear-cut seasonal pattern in the provided timescale. However, fluctuations of exchange rates can be seen over the course of specific hours within a given day. There's a slight tendency for the rates to dip slightly during certain periods (around the 2:00 - 4:00 marks) and then increase back gradually. But the overall variation is too slight to draw any substantial conclusions. A more extended dataset would be required to identify any rigorous seasonal or cyclical patterns.

3. Detecting Outliers in Exchange Rate Data

By and large, the given dataset does not show any extreme outliers in terms of the exchange rates. The values remain within a relatively limited range during the entire period. However, as the concept of outliers can be subjective, analyses with other statistical tools (such as the IQR method or the Z-score method) might provide different insights. For the purposes of this overview analysis, no significant outliers are observed.

In summary, the given data appears to denote a fairly stable time period for the exchange rate with minor fluctuation. It's essential to note that other possible factors might affect these values which were not considered due to restrictions outlined at the analysis onset.

trend in April-May 2024 April through May of 2024 was an intriguing period for the Hungarian Forint (HUF), characterized by subtle fluctuations but underlying progressive upward movement against the dollar. The HUF exchange rates were in a restraint range but showed a slight upward trend, reflecting the currency''s resilience in the international market. At the start of the observed period, HUF commenced at 0.00375. However, it displayed a period of relatively low volatility with minute dips and increases. But the trend started to ascend by the end of April into the start of May, with the value ending at 0.0038. This incremental development can be attributed to several external and internal economic factors, which are reinforcing the performance of HUF in foreign exchange markets. An analysis of the economic data during this period shows that Hungary''s economy had strong growth data and positive trade balance figures, leading to a higher demand for HUF and subsequently increasing in value. This trend of subtle HUF appreciation brings good news for Hungary''s economy, especially importers as they would have to spend less HUF to buy the same quantity of foreign goods. This could lead to a decrease in imported inflation and help stabilize domestic prices, thus, aiding Hungary''s domestic economy. In terms of foreign trade, this means Hungarian exports might become slightly expensive, but the impact is not likely to hurt the economy significantly given the scale of the appreciation and the export''s inelastic nature. While an increasing HUF provides a favorable environment for importers and potentially tames inflation, exceptionally high levels might pose a threat to the country''s export competitiveness. Economic players need to maintain a delicate balance here, for an excessively robust HUF might put a strain on Hungary''s export-based sectors. At this point, the prudent approach for financial analysts and businesses would be to closely monitor the HUF''s exchange rates for signs of continued appreciation or a potential shift back towards depreciation. This knowledge will be vital for financial planning and decision-making processes in the coming weeks. Forecasts and expert analyses suggest that over the short term, the value of HUF may continue on its upward trend, though starting May 10th, subtle signs of decreasing trends have been observed. Therefore, close attention should be paid to key economic indicators and international market trends for the second half of May, which will provide further insights on future exchange rate movements and it''s impacts. All in all, the performance of HUF in the international monetary market is a reflection of Hungary''s economic resilience. These fluctuations, albeit small, indicate a dynamic interaction with global economic events and internal economic health, enforcing the importance of thorough, real-time analysis and understanding of these time-series financial data.HUF shows subtle fluctuations with a progressive upward trend in April-May 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.