2024-05-06 Ethiopian Birr News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Overall Trend Analysis

That, the time series data provided spans from 2024-04-05 to 2024-05-03. Overall, the ETB exchange rate shows no broad upward or downward trend over this period. Instead, it appears to fluctuate within a relatively stable range of around 0.0236 to 0.0243. While there are slight increases and decreases over specific periods, these fluctuations generally reverse themselves, leading to no significant net change in the exchange rate over time.

The highest figure recorded in this period is 0.02432 on 16th April 2024 and the lowest at 0.02359 on 2nd May 2024. As such, while there might be some minor fluctuations, the value doesn't stray too far from the average 0.0239.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

Regarding seasonality or recurring patterns, a comprehensive analysis of the time-series data doesn't present any clear-cut patterns. However, it was observed that the majority of higher rates occurred during the week's start, particularly on Mondays and Tuesdays. Conversely, towards the end of each week, the rates showed a tendency to dip slightly before picking up again at the week's start. It's important to remember that this pattern isn't universally true for all days and weeks within the given period, and there are several exceptions to this pattern.

Identification of Outliers

Throughout the period under review, there do not appear to be any significant outliers or anomalies within the data. The exchange rates remain within a tight range, with no extreme highs or lows outside of this range. The instance of the recorded lowest exchange rate on the 2nd May 2024 could be considered abnormal when compared with the rest of the data, but without information on external factors, it is difficult to label it definitively as an outlier.

In conclusion, the ETB exchange rate seems to be fairly stable over the given period, with no significant overall trend, some evidence of weekly cyclicality, and no significant outliers.

/h1> It is the ebb and flow of the financial markets that continue to keep investors, businesses, and governments on their toes. An accurate representation of this dynamics can be seen recently in the fluctuation of the Ethiopian Birr (ETB) exchange rates. Over the last month, the ETB exchange rate has experienced both ups and downs that are noteworthy. Starting from April 5th, 2024, each day brought varying levels of value for ETB compared to the global market. The beginning of April saw a period of slight decrease with rates moving from 0.02383 on April 5th to bottoming at 0.02377 by the end of April 29th. These small, yet steady changes suggested a negative turn was in progress, forcing investors, and currency traders to speculate on the continuous depreciation of the currency. Seemingly out of nowhere, there was a sudden peak on April 15th, assuming the maximum value of 0.02427 before it started to trade within the range of 0.02416 to 0.02426. This activity suggests a high level of currency volatility that experts believe to be attributed to shifts in Ethiopia''s economic climate and speculated future forecasts. Interestingly, May 2nd marked a point for the ETB; it dived to 0.0236, the lowest point shot so far that surpassed all previous valuations. This incident was followed by a sudden revival as the rate soared on the same day to 0.02399, almost regaining its typical trading range. The frequent changes in the ETB exchange rate have raised several speculations. Investors, business owners, and economists are working to understand these unusual fluctuations and how they may impact the economic health of Ethiopia. The reasons for such volatility can be numerous, ranging from national economic indicators to geopolitical tension. These play a significant role in determining the health of a country''s currency, influencing the way investors perceive future trends. Therefore, regular monitoring of these fluctuations and deep comprehension of these trends is crucial for predictive analytics and strategic planning. These fluctuations also underline the importance of risk management for global businesses operating in or with Ethiopia and their need to hedge against currency risk. As we look to the future, the world is keeping an eye on many influencing factors, including the Ethiopian central bank''s policy decisions, geopolitical stability, and economic events that could further impact the ETB exchange rate. While the ETB has shown unpredictability, it is essential to remember that in the world of currency trading, volatility is a double-edged sword: it can fuel both losses and gains. In conclusion, with the ebb and flow of the ETB exchange rate, businesses, investors, and economists are reminded of the crucial importance of keeping a pulse on global economic trends. And as the world moves further into 2024, the performance of the ETB will undoubtedly continue to be a focal point of these discussions.ETB Exchange Rate Enters Significant Fluctuation Period

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

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