2024-03-12 Ethiopian Birr News

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Understanding the Overall Trend of Exchange Rates (ETB)

After analyzing the ETB exchange rate against time-series data, it is observed that the rates appear relatively stable. They initially stick close to the values of 0.02408 and 0.02409 for a considerable duration. Then the rate achieved a peak at 0.02411 on 2024-04-23 05:10:02. However, immediately after that peak, there was a downtrend that gradually reached the lowest point, with rates falling to 0.02391. After the drop, the rates again started rising and ended at 0.02412.

2. Identification of Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

From the time-series data presented, the concept of seasonality or intraday patterns was quite tricky to identify. Since the data provided is within a single day, it's difficult to establish significant recurring day-to-day or month-to-month patterns or trends in the ETB exchange rate. Nonetheless, there's minute intraday fluctuation observed.

3. Noting Any Outliers

For the purpose of this analysis, the outliers are those observations that lie an abnormal distance from other values in a random sample from that population. For this dataset, there isn't a significant fluctuation in the rates that could depict the occurrence of any robust outliers.

One condition to note, though, is the slight rise at 2024-04-23 05:10:02 (the peak) where the rate hiked to 0.02411 from 0.0241, and a drop at 2024-04-23 11:00:03 when the rates fell to 0.02394 from 0.02405.

While these instances show a slightly higher change rate compared to the rest of the data, they are not extreme enough to be considered solid outliers.

It's important to note that given the nature of exchange rates, which can be affected by numerous unpredictable factors external to this dataset, occasional fluctuations (although not observed here) can be expected and may not always be considered outliers.

and The Ethiopian Birr (ETB) experienced minor oscillations in its exchange rate throughout the day, as observed in the time-series financial data gathered and analyzed. This piece navigates through the details and implications of the data caught in the digits. At the outset, from the initial hours of the day, the ETB saw very minute variations within the narrow scope of 0.02373 to 0.02378 approximately until midday. After a steady period, a surprising surge occurred, pushing the rate up to 0.02392 at 09:00 UTC. However, the firm grip on its volatility continued, and the value gradually retraced back to its more typical range within the hour, all but erasing the surge. Starting from the mid-afternoon, the ETB embarked on a slightly downward trajectory plummeting to its day’s lowest of 0.02371 by late-night, marking an overall dip in value. The trading day, therefore, exhibited a trend of initially sustaining within a particular range, briefly breaking the constraint before falling back in-line, followed by a late slump. The aforementioned volatility in ETB’s exchange rates raises valid questions about market behavior and economic health. While these fluctuations appear minimal, they''re noticeable to astute investors who carefully play on these margins. Minor rate movements may represent hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of dollars in transactions, particularly for large corporate investors or national treasuries. The implications of this day’s data are considerable in that they demonstrate the influence of certain market reactions. An abrupt surge could mean a sudden inflow or outflow of capital, a reaction to an event, a large-scale transaction being made, or merely the effects of algorithmic trading systems running their course. Looking forward, the insignificant movement in the ETB could be an indication of a larger trend or a sign of stagnation, with possible repercussions on Ethiopia''s export competitiveness and inflation rate. It is, thus, advisable that investors, both local and foreign, plus global economic forecasters, keep a close eye on ETB exchange rate patterns. The impending financial events in Ethiopia and globally, which might jolt the ETB from its quasi-stable trend, should be the key focus now. All this while, the essence remains - the world of finance exists not only in the blossom or decay of economies but also within the often overlooked minute oscillations of a single day''s trading hours.ETB Exchange Rate Sees Minor Fluctuations within Tight Band

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.