2024-05-06 Egyptian Pound News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis of EGP Exchange Rate Data

Based on the given dataset, the following can be concluded regarding the trend, seasonality, and outliers of the EGP exchange rates:

1. Overall Trend

During the recorded period, the exchange rate of EGP seems to be notably fluctuating, with both consistent increase and decline trends observed. It begins at around 0.02865 on 2024-04-05, fluctuates slightly, then exhibits quite a constant downward pattern until approximately 2024-04-15, where a significant drop is observed to 0.02822. After that, it mostly continues to fluctuate but leans towards a marginal increasing trend, peaking at around 0.02897 on 2024-04-12. Following this peak, a significant drop again is seen on 04-15, after which the series starts fluctuating with slight decrease and increase trends. The end value of the dataset is approximately 0.02853, which is slightly lower than the initial rate indicating that overall, it may have a slight but not significant downward trend.

2. Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

With the data available, it is hard to definitely claim a seasonality or recurring pattern in the exchange rates within the given period. However, we can still find times where the exchange rate exhibits similar behaviors. There are times when the exchange rate is more stable with little fluctuation and times when the exchange rate exhibits larger swings (for instance, 2024-04-15 and thereafter). To make a conclusion about seasonality or recurring patterns, a longer period, including entire years' data, would be required to account for potential annual or quarterly economic effects.

3. Outliers

With regards to outliers where the rate differs significantly from the trend, we can highlight a couple of points:

  • On 2024-04-15, the exchange rate dropped from 0.02897 to 0.02822, which represents a sharp downward move compared to its relatively stable previous values.
  • There seems to be some sudden spikes and drops on dates like 2024-04-10 or 2024-04-12, but those changes might not be considered extreme enough to be labeled as outliers without knowing the specific context or external factors.
what started as a period of instability and fluctuations for the Egyptian Pound (EGP) in April 2024, the currency managed to regain some lost ground moving into May. This shows the inherent resilience within Egypt''s economic dynamics, amidst intriguing ups and downs that have shaped the exchange rate''s trajectory. The data reveals a notably volatile period for the EGP in April, where the rate was subject to frequent minor changes. This volatility reflected a broader uncertainty in global markets, with exchange rates responding to a churn of economic news and speculative positioning. Throughout the first two weeks of April, the exchange rate hovered consistently around the 0.02865 mark. However, a dip to 0.02822 was observed on the 15th, possibly due to internal factors or wider market sentiment. Despite numerous fluctuations, the EGP managed to maintain a steady average of 0.0285 for the most of April. This wave of fluctuations is not an isolated event and can often provide opportunities for investors who capitalize on currency movements. Yet, for businesses and consumers, this instability can pose challenges. Exchange rate fluctuations directly affect the cost of imported goods and the value of exports, impacting everyone, from large corporations to the average consumer. By the end of April, the EGP seems to have regained some stability, hovering around 0.0286. The slight recovery indicates market corrective measures or increased confidence towards the EGP - a more in-depth analysis would be necessary to pinpoint the cause accurately. This recent development takes place under the wider scope of economic strategies implemented by the Central Bank of Egypt and the government, aiming to ensure economic stability and foster growth. It also underlines the importance of robust financial systems in place to manage uncertainties and rapid dynamics in the exchange market. Into the first few days of May, the currency further picks up steam, with the exchange rate climbing to 0.02866. While small in isolation, these decimal changes represent millions in the financial world. Looking ahead, the exchange-rate trajectory will likely continue to be influenced by Egypt''s economic performance and broader global macroeconomic factors. Current and prospective investors, businesses dealing with imports and exports, and financial professionals should continue to monitor these developments closely. This episode illustrates the dynamism and complexity of financial markets, where each decimal point fluctuation can signify underlying changes in the economic landscape. It underscores the need for constant vigilance and adaptive strategies for individuals and businesses keen on navigating the often tumultuous seas of finance.April volatility leads to EGP recovery into May

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

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