2024-05-13 Cuban Peso News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis of The Overall Trend of Exchange Rates

The given dataset includes time series data from April 12, 2024, till May 10, 2024. When observing the data, we see that the exchange rate has relatively minor fluctuations, suggesting a part of a stable market condition. The data starts with a rate of 0.05178 and ends with 0.05158, showing a minor decrease in the exchange rate over approximately a month, though there are occasional upticks.

Identification of Seasonality or Recurring Patterns

To accurately determine seasonality or recurring patterns, algorithms like time-series decomposition are typically used. However, based on the visual inspection, it seems that there is no clear seasonality or recurring patterns in the exchange rates during this period. The rates seem to present a series of ups and downs, with no discernable period at which they consistently rise or fall.

Outliers Noted in the Exchange Rates

The dataset seems consistent without any significant outliers. While there are a few peaks and valleys, they don't deviate drastically from the average rate in these data. They most likely represent normal market fluctuations and not an anomaly in the data.

Factors not Considered

  • This analysis assumes that the time series data is not influenced by market opening/closing hours.
  • Weekends and holidays are not excluded from the dataset.
  • Key financial news and reports release which can have a significant impact on the exchange rate are not considered.
  • The analysis has not generated any forecast for future rates.

Please consider these results as preliminary data analysis which provides a general overview of trends, seasonality, and outliers. For a more precise understanding and interpretation of the data, one could apply specific forecasting models, consider the influence of contextual features such as market hours, and weekends or holidays.

2024 In recent weeks, financial markets have closely monitored the currency market, particularly the exchange rate of the CUP. Over the period from early April to mid-May 2024, data reveals a story of slight fluctuations. The timestamps provided give a clear understanding of how the exchange rate trends have played out over time. Towards the beginning of April 2024, the exchange rate of the CUP was observed to be around 0.05178. Over time, there was a gradual increase, peaking at 0.05219 in mid-April. However, as the month progressed, a downward trend was noted, with the rates dipping to approximately 0.05156 by the end of April. This trend continued into early May with rates dropping further. As we delve deeper, these fluctuations stand as a testament to the inherent volatility present in currency markets. Factors such as changes in monetary policy, geopolitical events, inflation rates, and economic indicators significantly contribute to these price shifts, impacting investor sentiment and market behaviors. To provide some context, the CUP''s exchange rate is crucial due to its economic implications. Exchange rates influence the cost of imports and exports, impacting trade balances and GDP. Higher exchange rates can make domestic goods and services less competitive in international markets, potentially affecting the nation’s export sector. Moreover, exchange rates also impact foreign direct investment (FDI). When exchange rates are stable or appreciating, the country becomes a more attractive investment destination, inviting a higher inflow of FDI. Alternatively, an unstable or depreciating exchange rate can deter potential investors. However, the small scale of these fluctuations over the specified period signifies relative stability in the economy during this period. The fact that the observed changes in exchange rates remained within a small range is indicative of a stable monetary environment, depicting investor confidence in the long-term economic landscape. Looking ahead, it''s crucial to note that the currency market is intrinsically dynamic and subject to sudden shifts due to unforeseen events and shifts in market sentiment. Investors and market watchers must stay informed about unfolding economic events, policy changes, and other significant factors that might potentially impact the exchange rates. They should also exercise vigilance in deciphering trends for making informed investment decisions, given that minor fluctuations like these could signal more substantial adjustments in the near future. Evidently, while these changes may appear minuscule in isolation, their interpretation and analysis contribute significantly to understanding the broader economic picture. The focus should be placed on understanding the factors driving these fluctuations in exchange rates, as they offer a glimpse into the economic health of the country and prospective implications for businesses and investors.Exchange Rates Reflect Slight Fluctuations in April-May 2024

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.