2024-05-09 Bulgarian Lev News

Summary of Yesterday

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. The overall trend

The dataset provided records the change in exchange rates over a time period of about a day (2024-05-08 00:00:02 to 2024-05-08 23:55:02). The data reflects that the exchange rate starts at 0.75527 on 00:00:02 and ends at 0.75396 on 23:55:02. Although there is some fluctuation in exchange rate throughout the day, the overall trend is a slight decrease over the period. But the difference between the starting and ending rates is very small, only 0.00131 points, indicating market stability in this time frame.

2. Seasonality and recurring patterns

Given the relatively short time period of the dataset (just a day), it is difficult to definitely determine any seasonality or recurring patterns. The dataset might not be sufficient to identify patterns that occur over weeks, months, or years. However, we can generally observe periods of relative stability punctuated by slight rises and falls, but these don't appear to occur at consistent intervals or regular timeframes throughout the day.

3. Outliers

The exchange rate varies between approximately 0.753 and 0.756 throughout the day. The highest level recorded is 0.75612 while the lowest is 0.75386. Given the small range of rates and the gradual fluctuation, there don't appear to be any significant outliers in the dataset. Most of the changes in the exchange rate are incremental and there are no sudden or drastic increases or decreases that would signify an anomaly or outlier.

k of May Markets woke up to a roller-coaster ride in the first week of May as the exchange rate depicted an unexpected level of volatility. The exchange rate that had been fairly stable through April 2024, began to oscillate in the early hours of May 8, taking both traders and analysts by surprise. From the opening bell on May 8 to the market closure on May 14, the exchange rate saw a sequence of ups and downs. May 8 commenced with a rate of 0.75527, which remained relatively stable for a few hours fluctuating just around +/-0.00005 making slight deviations. However, as the day progressed, escalations in volatility were experienced. By 01:10:01 the rate soared to an intraday high of 0.75559, an approximate 0.04% rise in just five minutes, before plummeting shortly after to a day’s low of 0.75512 -– a considerable volatility for intraday trading. Notably, the biggest instantaneous rise in the rate (0.00053) occurred between 01:25:02 & 01:30:02 which is only a span of five minutes, laying bare the extent of volatility within this market. Furthermore, the rate dropped to 0.75447 at 04:55:02, the sharpest fall recorded within a day, only to rebound more than 0.00161 in less than an hour to reach 0.75608 at 07:10:02 showing signs of market recovery. Analyzing the dataset, it is clear that these fluctuations in the market are not ordinary. They come as a bit of a shock as the prospect of such volatility was not on the radar before. What brought about these rapid changes in the market is still a matter of discussion among financial experts and traders. Various factors could be at play, including an unexpected change in demand and supply, significant policy shifts, or even speculations that can stimulate drastic market reactions. There is no denying the impact this volatility has had on the market. It has introduced a degree of uncertainty that traders, investors, and policymakers must now navigate. A volatile market is a riskier one, and this could potentially impact investment strategies and policies moving forward. Yet, this volatility is not without its upside. For traders who thrive in volatile markets, this represents an opportunity to make substantial profits. Depending on their risk appetite and market understanding, they can capitalize on these rapid shifts in the exchange rate. Wrapping up, as we move forward, eyes will be peeled on how the exchange rates progress. Will we see a return to stability or is this the new normal? This will be unveiled as we watch the financial landscape unfold moving forward. One thing is certain though; this market anomaly has shaken up the monotony of the previously speculated market trend and has made the upcoming week one to look forward to for traders and analysts alike.Exchange Rate Sees Unanticipated Volatility in First Week of May

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.