2024-04-22 Bulgarian Lev News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

Analysis Result

Considering the 20-day interval from March to April 2024, the BGN exchange rate seems to follow a semi-volatile pattern. The value hovered around 0.75 without any significant upward or downward trend for the period in consideration.

Overall Trend

The overall trend of the exchange rate appears to be fluctuating between 0.743 and 0.758 over these days, with no clear signs of upward or downward progressions. Although there were slight decreases to lows around 0.744 and increases to highs up to 0.757, the rate remained relatively stable, reverting back to around 0.75.

Seasonality or recurring patterns

Based on the dataset provided, a clear evidence of seasonality or a recurring pattern is not visible. We could see variations in rates throughout different times of the day, but these do not form a consistent pattern. Therefore, predicting a specific pattern on a daily or hourly basis is challenging with the current data.

Outliers

The dataset in consideration does not show any significant outliers. The maximum and minimum values present within the dataset do not diverge greatly from the mean, suggesting that there were no substantial shifts in the exchange rates that could be considered anomalies.

Please note, this analysis purely constitutes a technical interpretation of the numerical dataset. Other external factors such as economic events, political changes or significant financial news, which could potentially influence exchange rates, were not considered in this analysis.

ility Significant variations have been noted in the BGN exchange rates over a span of few weeks, according to the time series data available. Highlighting an insight in the constant undulations within the financial market, exchange rates have experienced both crests and troughs, indicative of a potential market volatility. The exchange rates, pivotal to both international trade and investment, have seen an ebb and flow from 0.75104 on March 22, 2024, to a slight elevation at 0.75297 on March 26, 2024. Interwoven within this time frame, minor dips and peaks were noted, leading to a gradual increase overall. However, this transient hike was short-lived as it plummeted down to 0.74621 on April 1, 2024, subsequently, increasing again on the 9th and 10th of the same month. Producing a ripple effect in the financial seascape, these rates continued their unstable trek, displaying a steady rise until April 16, 2024, when it again took a downturn. The series continued in sine wave-like patterns, highlighting the capricious nature of the observed data and painting a picture of unpredictability that has held the market in thrall. The volatile movements in the exchange rates project notable implications on the global economy and sectors therein. Exchange rate shifts bear a direct impact on the competitiveness of domestic producers in global markets. With rates rising, goods being exported could become more expensive, creating an export inflation scenario. Conversely, a decrease in rates may prompt a surge in cheaper imports, affecting the competition dynamics for domestic industries. For investors and analysts, these fluctuations act as a signal for potential risks. This is especially significant for countries heavily oriented towards international trade. Additionally, it underscores the necessity for active risk management strategies, anchoring the reins of uncertainty. Moreover, exchange rate shifts can impact inflation and monetary policy, key factors in the long-term economic scenario. Central banks often react to these changes when setting base interest rates, and this can affect loan and mortgage rates in the economy. The time-series data for BGN exchange rates summarizes ongoing market volatility and suggests potential implications for international trade and investment, inflation, and monetary policy decisions. As with most financial factors, the future is not written in stone. Market participants would do well to keep a keen eye on these rates and employ a robust risk management strategy for the forthcoming days. The continuing variations in the exchange rates will create compelling stories in the coming days. The question for now, however, is how long will this turbulence last and what new trends it may bring with it? As we navigate through the financial year, these are the pointers to look out for, as they will inevitably shape the financial landscape and dictate the rhythm of global trading.Exchange rates fluctuate, predict potential market volatility

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.