2024-04-29 Belize Dollar News

Summary of Last Week

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Statistical Measures

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Trend

Overall Trend Analysis

From the given dataset, the exchange rate initially remains relatively stable, hovering around 0.671 - 0.673 in the first few days, with only slight fluctuations. We then see an upward trend in the exchange rate that starts on 2024-04-10, reaching a peak around 2024-04-12 at about 0.684. After that, the exchange rate decreases slightly and becomes more volatile, with the rates oscillating between roughly 0.677 and 0.686. Finally, it seems to stabilize again around 0.679 towards the end of the month. The minimum rate in the dataset is about 0.669 and the maximum around 0.686. Therefore, even though we see some fluctuation, the overall exchange rate doesn't vary dramatically throughout the whole period.

Seasonality and Recurring Patterns

Although the data does not cover a long enough period to definitively establish seasonality or recurring patterns, it appears there might be a daily pattern present - the exchange rate seems to possess a slight increase in the early hours (02:00 - 06:00) and later shows either a stability or decrease as the day goes on. However, this isn't consistent for all days and more data would be required to firmly establish this pattern.

Outliers in data

On 2024-04-04 around 08:00:03, the exchange rate drops to approximately 0.669. Similarly, on 2024-04-08 around 10:00:03 the rate drops to around 0.673. These instances could be considered outliers since they fall significantly below the general trend. Moreover, another noticeable spike occurs on 2024-04-10, where the exchange rate suddenly jumps and reaches around 0.678 by 10:00:03. Then it grows rapidly till 2024-04-12 at 14:00:01 when it reaches its peak at 0.684. These points should be investigated further to understand their causes better.

arly April In the latest turn of events, the exchange rates of the Belize dollar (BZD) have witnessed drastic and fascinating gyrations during the initial weeks of April 2024. The unpredictability of this period is of particular interest for market watchers, policy makers, financial analysts, and global investors. The Belize dollar exchange rates started at a position of 0.67183 on 29th March 2024. The rate was seen to undergo negligible changes until a marked upward trend began in early April, reaching its peak at a whopping rate of 0.68413 on 12th April 2024. This surge represents a substantial shift that would have far-reaching implications for traders engaged in the Forex market. The buoyancy in the exchange rates signifies not just the strength of the Belize economy but also the confidence of investors in the economy''s fundamentals. It suggests increasing interest and optimism in the Belize market. Such enthusiasm could result in increased foreign inflows leading to robust foreign exchange reserves, an essential aspect for any economy to manage external shocks. However, with the BZD’s significant increase, there is also uncertainty. The unpredictability in currency exchange rates, as shown in the first half of April, may thus inflict potential risks to international trade and investment. If foreign goods become too expensive, it may lead to a slump in demand, thereby hurting businesses in Belize that rely heavily on foreign trade. Moreover, for net debtor nations, a stronger currency could mean heavier burdens as debts denominated in foreign currency become more expensive to service. Thus, notwithstanding the hint of an apparent economic upliftment, the increased volatility in the exchange rates warrants cautious optimism. Post reaching a peak value, the Belize dollar experienced a minor downfall, declining to a rate of 0.67704 on 26th April 2024. Analysts and observers are now keenly watching these trends to ascertain if this lowering is just a momentary drop or the beginning of a significant downward shift. The flux in currency rates is also a testament to the interplay of macroeconomic factors such as inflation rates, differences in interest rates, public debt, and economic performance relative to other countries. Moving forward, market players and analysts will keep a close eye on the Belize Central Bank''s response and any potential policy changes to moderate this extreme exchange rate volatility. It is crucial for traders and investors to closely monitor these developments that can significantly impact their decisions about investing in Belize or using BZD for international transactions. In the days to come, the focus would also be on the upcoming economic indicators and announcements from Belize''s central bank. These will provide apt pointers to the future trajectory of the BZD exchange rates, a key component of many financial decisions. The coming weeks, thus, hold promising intrigue and uncertainty, keeping all market players on their toes.Dramatic Fluctuation in BZD Exchange Rates Observed in Early April

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.