2024-05-20 Azerbaijanian Manat News

Summary of Last Week

  • Opening:
  • Closing:
  • Difference of Opening & Closing:
  • Daily High:
  • Daily Low:
  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

  • Mean:
  • Standard Deviation:

Trend

1. Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates

Having reviewed the information on the trends in the exchange rates over the specified period, it can be deduced that there's considerable variability in the exchange rates over the provided timestamps. The exchange rate begins at 0.81097 and ends at 0.79853, indicating a slight decrease over the period. On some dates, the exchange rate increases marginally while on others, it decreases

2. Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates

While scanning through the data, no distinct seasonality or recurring patterns in the exchange rates could be identified. The data does show some fluctuation in value over time but is not consistently repeating, therefore suggesting potential randomness in the exchange rate changes. However, a complete conclusion on the seasonality needs a more advanced and sophisticated time series analysis.

3. Noting any outliers, or instances where the exchange rate differs significantly from what would be expected based on the trend or seasonality

There are some instances of notable spikes or dips in the rate. For instance, on 2024-04-22 at 06:00:02, the exchange rate shot up to 0.82127, while the next time stamp recorded a significant drop to 0.80806. Also, there are instances when the exchange rate dips lower, for example, on 2024-05-16 22:00:02, when it went as low as 0.78445. These outliers significantly deviate from the expected trend and do not align with the general movements observed across the period.

Remember, the analysis is based on the provided data and any external factors like market opening/closing hours, weekends/holidays, or the release of key financial news and reports were not considered. This is a basic time series analysis, to get more accurate and detailed insights, advanced models and methods like AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Exponential Smoothing, etc., can be applied.

ions In the financial world, the past couple of weeks have been dramatic for the Azerbaijani Manat (AZN) exchange rate. The currency has been through turbulence and experienced notable changes, reflecting the volatile market scenarios and impacting global and local businesses. Between April 19th and May 17th, 2024, the AZN exchange rate displayed significant volatility. Starting at a rate of 0.81097, the currency saw its fair share of peaks and troughs over the following four weeks, with it plunging to 0.78445 by May 16, 2024. Such dramatic rate shifts have not been seen in a considerable amount of time. Primarily, the reason behind such drastic fluctuations could be attributed to varying international economic contexts and unforeseen changes in economic policies. This continues to put markets on an edge, leading investors to adopt a cautious approach towards the AZN market. The most pronounced hike was observed on April 22, 2024, when the AZN rate touched a high of 0.82127 from a previous 0.80722. But the upswing was short-lived as the value declined, oscillating mostly in the range of 0.8 throughout the said period. Such market volatility poses challenges not just for the investors but also for businesses across the globe that have financial exposures in Azerbaijan. Financial strategists are working day and night to reroute the investments and hedge the risks associated with unexpected changes in the AZN exchange rate. As per market analysts, the recent AZN currency fluctuation trend showcases the manifestation of wider global economic turmoil. It has served as a wake-up call for investors and businesses alike to reassess their risk management strategies and financial plans, especially those having significant exposures to the Azerbaijani Manat. Looking ahead, experts predict the continuation of such fluctuations in the AZN exchange rate due to ongoing economic uncertainties globally. These might instigate investors to diversify their portfolios and consider other stable and profitable investment avenues until the AZN market regains its stability. Upcoming economic policies and trade agreements from Azerbaijan and its primary trade partners will significantly influence the AZN''s future position. Market participants should stay alert for any signs of economic or policy changes that could affect the AZN exchange rate. While fluctuations are part and parcel of any financial market, the ongoing oscillations in the AZN exchange rate serve as a reminder of the risky and unpredictable nature of the financial world. In such volatile times, the importance of wise and informed decision-making cannot be stressed enough. It is necessary for businesses and investors to equip themselves with robust risk management strategies to navigate these uncertain market waves successfully.AZN Exchange Rate Sees Turbulence Amidst Market Fluctuations

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.