2024-04-24 Azerbaijanian Manat News

Summary of Yesterday

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  • Difference of Daily High & Low:

Statistical Measures

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Trend

1. Understanding the overall trend of the exchange rates

Upon examining the given dataset, there doesn't appear to be a constant increase or decline in the trend. The rate fluctuates around the value of 0.805 and doesn't differ significantly from this figure throughout the given timestamps. There are certain moments of upward and downward movement, but they tend to balance each other out over time, resulting in a relatively stable trend.

2. Identifying any seasonality or recurring patterns in the changes of exchange rates

In terms of seasonality or recurring patterns, the dataset does not exhibit clear periodic fluctuations that would signify seasonal influences or cyclical patterns, such as daily or hourly patterns. Any notable upward or downward shifts do not seem to follow a consistent temporal pattern and therefore may be more likely attributed to random variation than to a stable, predictable cycle.

3. Identifying Outliers

There is a noticeable outlier at the timestamp "2024-04-23 05:45:02" where the exchange rate drops to 0.79032, which significantly deviates from the broadly stable trend around 0.805. Another similar outlier is at "2024-04-23 05:50:02" where the value is 0.78964. Yet, in both cases, the rates return to normal levels fairly quickly, suggesting these could be random outliers rather than indicative of a broad trend.

As per your instructions, this analysis is merely an immediate examination of the provided data and does not take into account broader market trends, hours, or events like news or financial reports. Consequently, it's advised to regard these findings as preliminary and to further substantiate these with more comprehensive and detailed analyses.

> In a somewhat surprising turn of events, the AZN (Azerbaijani Manat) exchange rates experienced significant volatility on 23rd April, 2024, within a 24-hour span, indicating a possible shift in the economic landscape. Unlike the usual stability associated with the AZN, it fluctuated within a narrow yet volatile band during the course of the day. As the data shows, the exchange rate started at 0.80324 and peaked at 0.8202 around 7 am, before fluctuating and closing at a rate of 0.80289. Several experts weigh in on this unanticipated swing, stating multiple key factors as likely contributors. This unexpected volatility could be attributed to the political landscape, market speculation, or economic reports that may have influenced investor sentiment. The full impact and reasons behind this sudden surge remain to be identified. This unusual pattern puts the spotlight back on Azerbaijan''s economy. Typically, the AZN has been known for its stability, bolstered by a robust oil and gas sector. Given this trend, the instability witnessed raises eyebrows in the economic community. Amidst these fluctuations, the role of the Central Bank of Azerbaijan and its monetary policies may also come under scrutiny. Investors might wonder - what could this mean? For one, the uncertainty brings about opportunity. Day traders and short-term investors may find the volatility appealing, with the ability to potentially make profits in shorter time frames. However, it also poses an increased risk in terms of the predictability of returns for the same group of investors. For the corporate sector, especially those dealing in foreign trade, these fluctuations could impact their foreign exchange risk management. Any spike in the exchange rate volatility like this needs to be swiftly responded to using effective hedging strategies. Looking ahead, it would be vital to watch how these rates continue to change over the next few days. Continued volatility could lead to a reevaluation of the AZN''s position, causing greater market unrest. This could possibly influence not just the Azerbaijani market, but also have ripples across regional and global economies, given Azerbaijan''s significant role in the global energy sector. As we tread into the rest of the year, all eyes will now be focused on deciphering this event, its underlying causes, and how the story unfolds. It''s definitely ''watch this space’ time for economists, traders, and the financial community at large. After all, as they say in this business, ''nothing is as constant as change’.Unexpected Volatility in AZN Exchange Rates Observed

Current Middle Market Exchange Rate

For information purposes only.